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Exploiting Uncertainty with Market Timing in Corporate Bond Markets

Bektic, D. ; Regele, T. (2018)
Exploiting Uncertainty with Market Timing in Corporate Bond Markets.
In: Journal of Asset Management, 19 (2)
Artikel, Bibliographie

Kurzbeschreibung (Abstract)

The purpose of this article is to show the usefulness of technical analysis in credit markets. We document that an application of a simple moving average timing strategy to US high-yield and US investment-grade corporate bond portfolios sorted by option-adjusted spread generates investment timing portfolios that substantially outperform the corresponding benchmark. For portfolios with high uncertainty, as measured by the option-adjusted spread, the abnormal returns generate economically and statistically significant returns relative to the capital asset pricing model, the four-factor model and additionally the bond factor model from Asness et al. (J Finance 68:929–985, 2013). Our results remain robust to different moving average formation periods, transaction costs, long–short portfolio construction techniques and alternative definitions of information uncertainty.

Typ des Eintrags: Artikel
Erschienen: 2018
Autor(en): Bektic, D. ; Regele, T.
Art des Eintrags: Bibliographie
Titel: Exploiting Uncertainty with Market Timing in Corporate Bond Markets
Sprache: Englisch
Publikationsjahr: März 2018
Verlag: Palgrave Macmillan
Titel der Zeitschrift, Zeitung oder Schriftenreihe: Journal of Asset Management
Jahrgang/Volume einer Zeitschrift: 19
(Heft-)Nummer: 2
URL / URN: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41260-017-0063-6
Kurzbeschreibung (Abstract):

The purpose of this article is to show the usefulness of technical analysis in credit markets. We document that an application of a simple moving average timing strategy to US high-yield and US investment-grade corporate bond portfolios sorted by option-adjusted spread generates investment timing portfolios that substantially outperform the corresponding benchmark. For portfolios with high uncertainty, as measured by the option-adjusted spread, the abnormal returns generate economically and statistically significant returns relative to the capital asset pricing model, the four-factor model and additionally the bond factor model from Asness et al. (J Finance 68:929–985, 2013). Our results remain robust to different moving average formation periods, transaction costs, long–short portfolio construction techniques and alternative definitions of information uncertainty.

Fachbereich(e)/-gebiet(e): 01 Fachbereich Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften
01 Fachbereich Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Betriebswirtschaftliche Fachgebiete
01 Fachbereich Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Betriebswirtschaftliche Fachgebiete > Fachgebiet Unternehmensfinanzierung
Hinterlegungsdatum: 21 Dez 2017 08:45
Letzte Änderung: 19 Okt 2018 09:57
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