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Inflation-Unemployment Tradeoff and Regional Labor Market Data

Hassler, Uwe ; Neugart, Michael (2009)
Inflation-Unemployment Tradeoff and Regional Labor Market Data.
Report, Erstveröffentlichung

Kurzbeschreibung (Abstract)

We estimate a linear and a piecewise linear Phillips curve model with regional labor market data for West German and Neue Länder. Employing regional observations allows us to country difference the data. This eliminates, under the assumption of homogeneous Länder, supply shocks and changes in the formation of expectations as possible identification failures. With seemingly unrelated regressions we find a flat Phillips curve in the Neue Länder. For the West German Länder a piecewise linear model with a higher inflation-unemployment tradeoff for the regime of low unemployment rates fits the data very well. The results hold true if we control for endogeneity of the unemployment rate. With a kinked but upward sloping aggregate supply curve there seems to be room for stabilization policies, at least in the range of aggregate demand shifts that our data covers.

Typ des Eintrags: Report
Erschienen: 2009
Autor(en): Hassler, Uwe ; Neugart, Michael
Art des Eintrags: Erstveröffentlichung
Titel: Inflation-Unemployment Tradeoff and Regional Labor Market Data
Sprache: Englisch
Publikationsjahr: 2009
Ort: Darmstadt
Reihe: Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics
Band einer Reihe: 112
URL / URN: http://tuprints.ulb.tu-darmstadt.de/4811
Kurzbeschreibung (Abstract):

We estimate a linear and a piecewise linear Phillips curve model with regional labor market data for West German and Neue Länder. Employing regional observations allows us to country difference the data. This eliminates, under the assumption of homogeneous Länder, supply shocks and changes in the formation of expectations as possible identification failures. With seemingly unrelated regressions we find a flat Phillips curve in the Neue Länder. For the West German Länder a piecewise linear model with a higher inflation-unemployment tradeoff for the regime of low unemployment rates fits the data very well. The results hold true if we control for endogeneity of the unemployment rate. With a kinked but upward sloping aggregate supply curve there seems to be room for stabilization policies, at least in the range of aggregate demand shifts that our data covers.

Freie Schlagworte: inflation-unemployment tradeoff, NAIRU, regional labor market data, seemingly unrelated regression
URN: urn:nbn:de:tuda-tuprints-48113
Zusätzliche Informationen:

JEL-classification: E24, E31; Erstellt September 2002

Sachgruppe der Dewey Dezimalklassifikatin (DDC): 300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft
Fachbereich(e)/-gebiet(e): 01 Fachbereich Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften
01 Fachbereich Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Volkswirtschaftliche Fachgebiete
Hinterlegungsdatum: 07 Feb 2016 20:55
Letzte Änderung: 25 Okt 2023 07:32
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