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A Residual-Based LM Test for Fractional Cointegration

Hassler, Uwe ; Breitung, Jörg (2009)
A Residual-Based LM Test for Fractional Cointegration.
Report, Erstveröffentlichung

Kurzbeschreibung (Abstract)

Nonstationary fractionally integrated time series may possibly be fractionally cointegrated. In this paper we propose a test for the null hypothesis of no cointegration. It builds on a static cointegration regression of the levels of the variables as a first step. In a second step, a univariate LM test is applied to the single equation regression residuals. However, it turns out that the application of the LM test to residuals without further modifications does not result in a limiting standard normal distribution, which contrasts with the situation when the LM test is applied to observed series. Therefore, we suggest a simple modification of the LM test that accounts for the residual effect. At the same time it corrects for eventual endogeneity of the cointegration regression. The proposed modification guarantees a limiting standard normal distribution of the test statistic. Our procedure is completely regression based and hence easy to perform. Monte Carlo experiments establish its validity for finite samples.

Typ des Eintrags: Report
Erschienen: 2009
Autor(en): Hassler, Uwe ; Breitung, Jörg
Art des Eintrags: Erstveröffentlichung
Titel: A Residual-Based LM Test for Fractional Cointegration
Sprache: Englisch
Publikationsjahr: 2009
Ort: Darmstadt
Reihe: Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics
Band einer Reihe: 114
URL / URN: http://tuprints.ulb.tu-darmstadt.de/4813
Kurzbeschreibung (Abstract):

Nonstationary fractionally integrated time series may possibly be fractionally cointegrated. In this paper we propose a test for the null hypothesis of no cointegration. It builds on a static cointegration regression of the levels of the variables as a first step. In a second step, a univariate LM test is applied to the single equation regression residuals. However, it turns out that the application of the LM test to residuals without further modifications does not result in a limiting standard normal distribution, which contrasts with the situation when the LM test is applied to observed series. Therefore, we suggest a simple modification of the LM test that accounts for the residual effect. At the same time it corrects for eventual endogeneity of the cointegration regression. The proposed modification guarantees a limiting standard normal distribution of the test statistic. Our procedure is completely regression based and hence easy to perform. Monte Carlo experiments establish its validity for finite samples.

Freie Schlagworte: Long memory, LM test, single equations
URN: urn:nbn:de:tuda-tuprints-48138
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Erstellt Juni 2002

Sachgruppe der Dewey Dezimalklassifikatin (DDC): 300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft
Fachbereich(e)/-gebiet(e): 01 Fachbereich Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften
01 Fachbereich Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Volkswirtschaftliche Fachgebiete
Hinterlegungsdatum: 07 Feb 2016 20:55
Letzte Änderung: 25 Okt 2023 07:17
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