Entorf, Horst ; Jamin, Gösta (2008)
The dollar and the German stock market: determination of exposure to and pricing of exchange rate risk using APT-modelling.
Report, Erstveröffentlichung
Kurzbeschreibung (Abstract)
We estimate the impact of dollar changes on the value of German DAX corporations, using APT-modelling for the period 1977 - 1995. Several macroeconomic risk factors, including the dollar and a residual market factor representing the general market risk, are specified. The general notion is that the export-oriented German companies should benefit from increasing dollar values. We find time-varying dollar exposure presumably depending on the prevailing trade regime. Dollar sensitivity is positive as expected in periods with a positive trade balance, whereas it turns negative in periods with a negative trade balance (e.g., in the first half of the 1980s). APT-modelling simultaneously considers exchange rate exposure and risk-premia of macroeconomic risk factors, the latter also being unstable over time.
Typ des Eintrags: | Report |
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Erschienen: | 2008 |
Autor(en): | Entorf, Horst ; Jamin, Gösta |
Art des Eintrags: | Erstveröffentlichung |
Titel: | The dollar and the German stock market: determination of exposure to and pricing of exchange rate risk using APT-modelling |
Sprache: | Englisch |
Publikationsjahr: | 2008 |
Ort: | Darmstadt |
Reihe: | Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics |
Band einer Reihe: | 127 |
URL / URN: | http://tuprints.ulb.tu-darmstadt.de/4799 |
Kurzbeschreibung (Abstract): | We estimate the impact of dollar changes on the value of German DAX corporations, using APT-modelling for the period 1977 - 1995. Several macroeconomic risk factors, including the dollar and a residual market factor representing the general market risk, are specified. The general notion is that the export-oriented German companies should benefit from increasing dollar values. We find time-varying dollar exposure presumably depending on the prevailing trade regime. Dollar sensitivity is positive as expected in periods with a positive trade balance, whereas it turns negative in periods with a negative trade balance (e.g., in the first half of the 1980s). APT-modelling simultaneously considers exchange rate exposure and risk-premia of macroeconomic risk factors, the latter also being unstable over time. |
URN: | urn:nbn:de:tuda-tuprints-47992 |
Zusätzliche Informationen: | JEL classification: F31, G12; Erstellt Dezember 2003 |
Sachgruppe der Dewey Dezimalklassifikatin (DDC): | 300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft |
Fachbereich(e)/-gebiet(e): | 01 Fachbereich Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften 01 Fachbereich Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften > Volkswirtschaftliche Fachgebiete |
Hinterlegungsdatum: | 31 Jan 2016 20:59 |
Letzte Änderung: | 25 Okt 2023 07:46 |
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