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Representing Topology Uncertainty for Distribution Grid Expansion Planning

Tomaselli, Domenico ; Stursberg, Paul ; Michael, Metzger ; Florian, Steinke (2023)
Representing Topology Uncertainty for Distribution Grid Expansion Planning.
27th International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CIRED 2023). Rome, Italy (12.06.2023 - 15.06.2023)
doi: 10.1049/icp.2023.0479
Konferenzveröffentlichung, Bibliographie

Kurzbeschreibung (Abstract)

The rising penetration of distributed renewable energy sources (RES), electric vehicle (EV) home-chargers, and heat pumps in power distribution systems can lead to violations of the grid operating conditions. To design suitable grid expansion measures for this challenge, grid planners need a good understanding of the existing infrastructure. Trustworthy, readily usable grid models are, however, often not available. This holds especially for distribution grids at the low-voltage level. In this work, a framework is proposed to generate a probability distribution over an ensemble of different, possible grid topologies for a given area of interest. This probabilistic approach allows to explicitly account for the uncertainty implied by the scarcity of the available information. In a case study with EV home-chargers, it is demonstrated how the proposed ensemble-based framework leads to a robust, uncertainty-aware interpretation regarding the assessment of the existing distribution grid.

Typ des Eintrags: Konferenzveröffentlichung
Erschienen: 2023
Autor(en): Tomaselli, Domenico ; Stursberg, Paul ; Michael, Metzger ; Florian, Steinke
Art des Eintrags: Bibliographie
Titel: Representing Topology Uncertainty for Distribution Grid Expansion Planning
Sprache: Englisch
Publikationsjahr: 29 September 2023
Verlag: IET
Buchtitel: 27th International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CIRED 2023) : Rome, 12-15 June 2023
Veranstaltungstitel: 27th International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CIRED 2023)
Veranstaltungsort: Rome, Italy
Veranstaltungsdatum: 12.06.2023 - 15.06.2023
DOI: 10.1049/icp.2023.0479
Kurzbeschreibung (Abstract):

The rising penetration of distributed renewable energy sources (RES), electric vehicle (EV) home-chargers, and heat pumps in power distribution systems can lead to violations of the grid operating conditions. To design suitable grid expansion measures for this challenge, grid planners need a good understanding of the existing infrastructure. Trustworthy, readily usable grid models are, however, often not available. This holds especially for distribution grids at the low-voltage level. In this work, a framework is proposed to generate a probability distribution over an ensemble of different, possible grid topologies for a given area of interest. This probabilistic approach allows to explicitly account for the uncertainty implied by the scarcity of the available information. In a case study with EV home-chargers, it is demonstrated how the proposed ensemble-based framework leads to a robust, uncertainty-aware interpretation regarding the assessment of the existing distribution grid.

Fachbereich(e)/-gebiet(e): 18 Fachbereich Elektrotechnik und Informationstechnik
18 Fachbereich Elektrotechnik und Informationstechnik > Institut für Datentechnik > Energieinformationsnetze und Systeme (EINS)
18 Fachbereich Elektrotechnik und Informationstechnik > Institut für Datentechnik
Forschungsfelder
Forschungsfelder > Energy and Environment
Hinterlegungsdatum: 22 Jul 2024 08:55
Letzte Änderung: 22 Jul 2024 08:55
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