Neugart, Michael ; Rode, Johannes (2021)
Voting after a major flood: Is there a link between democratic experience and retrospective voting?
In: European Economic Review, 133
doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103665
Article, Bibliographie
This is the latest version of this item.
Abstract
We explore whether retrospective voting is related to voters' democratic experience. To this end, we compare the voting behavior in West Germany to the voting behavior in the formerly non-democratic East Germany after a disaster relief program addressing a flood in 2013. Our analysis reveals a 2.2 (or 0.9 percentage points) increase in the vote share for the incumbent party in the flooded municipalities in the East compared to the West. Analyzing an earlier flood, variation of democratic experience within East Germany, and a panel survey provides further evidence that less democratically experienced voters are easier prey to pre-election policies.
Item Type: | Article |
---|---|
Erschienen: | 2021 |
Creators: | Neugart, Michael ; Rode, Johannes |
Type of entry: | Bibliographie |
Title: | Voting after a major flood: Is there a link between democratic experience and retrospective voting? |
Language: | English |
Date: | 2021 |
Journal or Publication Title: | European Economic Review |
Volume of the journal: | 133 |
DOI: | 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103665 |
URL / URN: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0014292121... |
Abstract: | We explore whether retrospective voting is related to voters' democratic experience. To this end, we compare the voting behavior in West Germany to the voting behavior in the formerly non-democratic East Germany after a disaster relief program addressing a flood in 2013. Our analysis reveals a 2.2 (or 0.9 percentage points) increase in the vote share for the incumbent party in the flooded municipalities in the East compared to the West. Analyzing an earlier flood, variation of democratic experience within East Germany, and a panel survey provides further evidence that less democratically experienced voters are easier prey to pre-election policies. |
Uncontrolled Keywords: | Retrospective voting, Natural disaster, Democratic experience, Relief program |
Divisions: | 01 Department of Law and Economics 01 Department of Law and Economics > Volkswirtschaftliche Fachgebiete 01 Department of Law and Economics > Volkswirtschaftliche Fachgebiete > International Economics 01 Department of Law and Economics > Volkswirtschaftliche Fachgebiete > Fachgebiet Finanzwissenschaft und Wirtschaftspolitik |
Date Deposited: | 03 Feb 2021 12:28 |
Last Modified: | 11 Oct 2021 09:44 |
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Voting after a major flood: Is there a link between democratic experience and retrospective voting? (deposited 25 Jan 2021 17:06)
- Voting after a major flood: Is there a link between democratic experience and retrospective voting? (deposited 03 Feb 2021 12:28) [Currently Displayed]
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