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Estimating Uncertainty of Scaled Products Using Similarity Relations and Laws of Growth

Lotz, Julian and Kloberdanz, Hermann and Freund, Tillmann and Rath, Karola (2014):
Estimating Uncertainty of Scaled Products Using Similarity Relations and Laws of Growth.
In: Proceedings of the 13th International Design Conference DESIGN 2014, Dubrovnik, In: Design Conference 2014, Dubrovnik, 19.-22.05.2014, [Conference or Workshop Item]

Abstract

This paper presents an approach to address size dependent uncertainty occurring in size range development. A brief introduction of handling estimated uncertainty using scenario based laws of growth is given. Monte Carlo simulation is used to determine the size dependency of stochastic uncertainty in size range products. The results of best- and worst case scenario laws of growth are compared to the results generated using the stochastic approach. Guidelines for the designer of how to face size-dependency of uncertainty are proposed.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item
Erschienen: 2014
Creators: Lotz, Julian and Kloberdanz, Hermann and Freund, Tillmann and Rath, Karola
Title: Estimating Uncertainty of Scaled Products Using Similarity Relations and Laws of Growth
Language: English
Abstract:

This paper presents an approach to address size dependent uncertainty occurring in size range development. A brief introduction of handling estimated uncertainty using scenario based laws of growth is given. Monte Carlo simulation is used to determine the size dependency of stochastic uncertainty in size range products. The results of best- and worst case scenario laws of growth are compared to the results generated using the stochastic approach. Guidelines for the designer of how to face size-dependency of uncertainty are proposed.

Title of Book: Proceedings of the 13th International Design Conference DESIGN 2014
Place of Publication: Dubrovnik
Uncontrolled Keywords: Uncertainty, Laws of Growth, Scaling, Monte Carlo Simulation, Size Range, Type Range
Divisions: 16 Department of Mechanical Engineering
16 Department of Mechanical Engineering > Institute for Product Development and Machine Elements (pmd)
DFG-Collaborative Research Centres (incl. Transregio) > Collaborative Research Centres > CRC 805: Control of Uncertainty in Load-Carrying Structures in Mechanical Engineering
Zentrale Einrichtungen
DFG-Collaborative Research Centres (incl. Transregio) > Collaborative Research Centres
DFG-Collaborative Research Centres (incl. Transregio)
Event Title: Design Conference 2014
Event Location: Dubrovnik
Event Dates: 19.-22.05.2014
Date Deposited: 27 May 2014 13:22
Alternative keywords:
Alternative keywordsLanguage
Unsicherheit, Wachstumsgesetze, Monte-Carlo-Simulation, Skalierung, BaureiheGerman
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